Saddlesore presents True Value Picks

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:) The coldest day of the year I came up with a new one. Here me first before judging.

#1 I look at the injury report scratch the players not playing.
Then any player doubtful I will scratch. Questionable players I will put in
but later on I will check.
#2 I will set my own point spread on the games without even looking at the Vegas line.
Movement changes when the questionable players are ruled out. And once that happens
I refigure my spread adding or subtracting.
#3 Then finally I look at the Vegas line. True value comes in when I compare the two.
Let's say I make the favorite -7 and Vegas has it -4. Difference of 3. I look for the biggest
difference and make those my picks.
#4 Once I set my line I look for BTB games and subtract the road team on the BTB -3 points.
The home team on a BTB -1 point. Late night games may also be played so watch out later
as I examine the injury list for possible play.

;) I hope you all wrote this down lot to digest. Maybe finally :banghead: I can find some peace.
 

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:) Here are my value plays.

Take Cavs +1 over Magic
Take Celtics -2.5 over Bulls

On my 4 rules I forgot one. On a BTB if the team is on the road you
subtract 3 pts off the spread plus if the previous game goes into overtime
you subtract 2 more points. If the games goes into another overtime subtract
one more point. So that would be 6 pts.

With Wagner out again the value went up. As for the Celtics even though they will be
on a disadvantage there is still value. White didn't play the last game and the Bulls lose
Jones who was a sparkplug on the defense. Even with the minus 6 pts they still have value
over the Bulls.


Knicks +1.5 over 76ers has also been added.
 

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:confused: True value picks says this.

Take Blazers -6.5 over Wizards
Take Nuggets +7 over Pistons
 

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:) Today's value picks

Take Knicks +1.5 over Raptors
Take Spurs +2.5 over Rockets
 

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;) {6-3}

I was going to pass on tonight because we have 7 teams from yesterday
playing tonight. The BTB games has been my weakness going 0-2. But here I am.
Here are today's value plays.

Take 76ers -10.5 over Kings
Take Mavericks +3.5 over Hornets
Take Nuggets -6.5 over Nets
 

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:confused: {7-5}

Take Raptors +2.5 over Magic
Take Nuggets +2.5 over Clippers
 

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:confused: Yesterday 1-1 the Raptors getting outscored in the 4th quarter 44-21.
Here is today's early value pick.

Take Spurs -3.5 over Hornets
 

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:confused: Yesterday 1-1 the Raptors getting outscored in the 4th quarter 44-21.
Here is today's early value pick.

Take Spurs -3.5 over Hornets
:confused: Adding
Take Wolves -10 over Grizzlies
Take Mavericks +11 over Rockets
 

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:) Did we all survive trade deadline.

Take Jazz +7.5 over Magic
Take Hawks +1.5 over Hornets

Still looking for later on.
 

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:) Short schedule today will take them one at a time.

Take Knicks +3.5 over Celtics
 

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;) This so far has worked well for me. {17-9}....Now on to the second half.
Here is today's value picks as I see it.

Take Hawks +1.5 over 76ers
Take Cavs -15.5 over Nets
Take Celtics -5.5 over Warriors
Take Nuggets -4.5 over Clippers
 

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